Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2027-01-03
Oviedo – Castellon
Home
38%
2.62 fair
Draw
26%
3.83 fair
Away
36%
2.79 fair
Expected Goals2.61
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
37.4%
→
38.1%
+0.7 pp
Draw
26.6%
→
26.1%
-0.5 pp
Away
36.0%
→
35.8%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
48.2%
→
48.5%
+0.3 pp
Both teams to score
53.0%
→
52.9%
-0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.59 →
2.61
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 9.2% | 10.88 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.2% | 4.95 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.06 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.59 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.43 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.43 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.29 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Total goals
| 92.7% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — |
Home team goals
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.74 | — |
Both to score
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — |
Corners
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — |
Home corners
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — |
Away corners
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Cards
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds