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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2027-01-03

Leganes – Celta B

Home 44% 2.26 fair
Draw 25% 4.04 fair
Away 31% 3.23 fair
Expected Goals2.91
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.9% → 44.3% +0.4 pp
Draw 25.2% → 24.7% -0.4 pp
Away 31.0% → 31.0% +0.0 pp
Over 2.5 53.5% → 55.5% +2.0 pp
Both teams to score 56.8% → 58.1% +1.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.81 → 2.91 +0.1
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.91
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.28 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.98 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

44.3% 2.26 —
24.7% 4.04 —
31.0% 3.23 —
69.0% 1.45 —
55.7% 1.79 —
75.3% 1.33 —

Half-time result

36.4% 2.75 —
37.8% 2.65 —
25.8% 3.87 —

Half-time double chance

74.2% 1.35 —
63.6% 1.57 —
62.2% 1.61 —

Both halves

12.3% 8.1 —

HT/FT

28.6% 3.49 —
5.7% 17.64 —
13.2% 7.57 —
13.9% 7.19 —
10.7% 9.39 —
5.2% 19.38 —
18.2% 5.48 —

HT/FT double chance

61.4% 1.63 —
54.6% 1.83 —
32.3% 3.09 —
41.9% 2.39 —
51.4% 1.95 —
31.2% 3.21 —
34.7% 2.88 —
44.5% 2.25 —
48.0% 2.09 —

Total goals

94.6% 1.06 —
78.4% 1.28 —
55.5% 1.8 —
33.5% 2.99 —
21.6% 4.62 —
44.5% 2.25 —
66.5% 1.5 —

1st-half goals

75.5% 1.32 —
40.8% 2.45 —

Home team goals

79.8% 1.25 —
47.4% 2.11 —

Away team goals

73.0% 1.37 —
37.8% 2.64 —

Both to score

58.1% 1.72 —

Corners

66.7% 1.5 —
55.6% 1.8 —
44.2% 2.26 —
33.8% 2.96 —
24.9% 4.01 —
44.4% 2.25 —
55.8% 1.79 —
66.2% 1.51 —
75.1% 1.33 —

Home corners

75.6% 1.32 —
61.3% 1.63 —
46.4% 2.16 —

Away corners

49.0% 2.04 —
32.1% 3.12 —
19.7% 5.09 —

Cards

90.7% 1.1 —
80.3% 1.25 —
66.7% 1.5 —
52.1% 1.92 —
19.7% 5.07 —
33.3% 3.0 —
47.9% 2.09 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds