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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2027-01-03

Las Palmas – Tenerife

Home 53% 1.88 fair
Draw 26% 3.78 fair
Away 20% 4.89 fair
Expected Goals2.26
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 51.5% → 53.1% +1.6 pp
Draw 27.3% → 26.5% -0.9 pp
Away 21.2% → 20.4% -0.7 pp
Over 2.5 38.3% → 39.2% +1.0 pp
Both teams to score 41.3% → 42.1% +0.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.22 → 2.26 +0.04
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.39 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.25 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

53.1% 1.88 —
26.5% 3.78 —
20.4% 4.89 —
79.6% 1.26 —
46.9% 2.13 —
73.5% 1.36 —

Half-time result

35.8% 2.79 —
47.0% 2.13 —
17.2% 5.81 —

Half-time double chance

82.8% 1.21 —
64.2% 1.56 —
53.0% 1.89 —

Both halves

15.4% 6.49 —

HT/FT

30.8% 3.24 —
4.1% 24.63 —
20.0% 5.01 —
18.2% 5.48 —
8.8% 11.39 —
4.2% 23.98 —
10.7% 9.34 —

HT/FT double chance

73.1% 1.37 —
60.5% 1.65 —
32.0% 3.12 —
41.4% 2.42 —
44.8% 2.23 —
19.9% 5.03 —
44.7% 2.24 —
41.8% 2.39 —
41.9% 2.39 —

Total goals

89.3% 1.12 —
66.3% 1.51 —
39.2% 2.55 —
19.1% 5.23 —
33.7% 2.97 —
60.8% 1.65 —
80.9% 1.24 —

1st-half goals

61.8% 1.62 —
25.5% 3.92 —

Home team goals

76.6% 1.31 —
43.4% 2.3 —

Away team goals

54.8% 1.82 —
19.1% 5.22 —

Both to score

42.1% 2.38 —

Corners

57.4% 1.74 —
45.3% 2.21 —
33.8% 2.96 —
24.6% 4.06 —
16.8% 5.94 —
54.7% 1.83 —
66.2% 1.51 —
75.4% 1.33 —
83.2% 1.2 —

Home corners

66.5% 1.5 —
49.9% 2.0 —
34.8% 2.87 —

Away corners

46.9% 2.13 —
30.0% 3.33 —
17.7% 5.66 —

Cards

85.9% 1.16 —
72.8% 1.37 —
57.0% 1.76 —
42.0% 2.38 —
27.2% 3.68 —
43.0% 2.32 —
58.0% 1.72 —

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