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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2027-01-03

Granada – Almeria

Home 38% 2.65 fair
Draw 24% 4.23 fair
Away 39% 2.59 fair
Expected Goals3.16
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.561%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 39.1% → 37.7% -1.4 pp
Draw 23.2% → 23.7% +0.4 pp
Away 37.7% → 38.6% +1.0 pp
Over 2.5 62.0% → 60.9% -1.1 pp
Both teams to score 64.0% → 63.1% -0.9 pp
Expected Goals 3.22 → 3.16 -0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.09 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.46 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.7% 2.65 —
23.7% 4.23 —
38.6% 2.59 —
61.4% 1.63 —
62.3% 1.61 —
76.3% 1.31 —

Half-time result

26.2% 3.81 —
37.3% 2.68 —
36.4% 2.74 —

Half-time double chance

63.6% 1.57 —
73.8% 1.36 —
62.7% 1.6 —

Both halves

10.0% 10.01 —

HT/FT

20.0% 5.01 —
4.3% 23.09 —
14.1% 7.1 —
12.5% 7.99 —
10.7% 9.32 —
3.6% 27.62 —
6.8% 14.68 —
26.0% 3.84 —

HT/FT double chance

50.9% 1.96 —
46.7% 2.14 —
29.5% 3.39 —
34.8% 2.88 —
51.5% 1.94 —
39.1% 2.56 —
37.0% 2.7 —
54.4% 1.84 —
56.1% 1.78 —

Total goals

95.7% 1.04 —
82.4% 1.21 —
60.9% 1.64 —
38.8% 2.58 —
17.6% 5.69 —
39.1% 2.56 —
61.2% 1.63 —

1st-half goals

76.1% 1.31 —
41.8% 2.4 —

Home team goals

79.1% 1.26 —
46.5% 2.15 —

Away team goals

79.7% 1.25 —
47.3% 2.11 —

Both to score

63.1% 1.58 —

Corners

65.4% 1.53 —
53.8% 1.86 —
42.4% 2.36 —
31.7% 3.15 —
22.9% 4.38 —
46.2% 2.17 —
57.6% 1.74 —
68.3% 1.46 —
77.1% 1.3 —

Home corners

71.5% 1.4 —
56.0% 1.79 —
40.3% 2.48 —

Away corners

53.1% 1.88 —
35.8% 2.79 —
22.4% 4.46 —

Cards

87.2% 1.15 —
74.9% 1.33 —
59.7% 1.67 —
44.9% 2.23 —
25.1% 3.99 —
40.3% 2.48 —
55.1% 1.81 —

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