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Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2027-01-03

Girona – Sabadell

Home 56% 1.8 fair
Draw 29% 3.48 fair
Away 16% 6.4 fair
Expected Goals1.89
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score32%
Over 2.530%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 60.8% → 55.7% -5.1 pp
Draw 24.3% → 28.7% +4.4 pp
Away 15.0% → 15.6% +0.7 pp
Over 2.5 38.2% → 29.7% -8.6 pp
Both teams to score 36.9% → 31.7% -5.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.22 → 1.89 -0.33
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.89
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.43 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 6.08 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

55.7% 1.8 —
28.7% 3.48 —
15.6% 6.4 —
84.4% 1.19 —
44.3% 2.26 —
71.3% 1.4 —

Half-time result

59.5% 1.68 —
35.0% 2.85 —
5.4% 18.42 —

Half-time double chance

94.6% 1.06 —
40.5% 2.47 —
65.0% 1.54 —

Both halves

10.1% 9.88 —

HT/FT

49.8% 2.01 —
8.0% 12.52 —
5.7% 17.45 —
20.0% 5.0 —
9.3% 10.75 —
4.6% 21.88 —

HT/FT double chance

83.5% 1.2 —
66.6% 1.5 —
39.1% 2.56 —
58.6% 1.71 —
56.3% 1.78 —
15.0% 6.66 —
26.6% 3.76 —
19.8% 5.06 —
34.6% 2.89 —

Total goals

84.9% 1.18 —
56.5% 1.77 —
29.7% 3.37 —
12.3% 8.15 —
43.5% 2.3 —
70.3% 1.42 —
87.7% 1.14 —

1st-half goals

70.4% 1.42 —
35.0% 2.86 —

Home team goals

73.4% 1.36 —
38.7% 2.59 —

Away team goals

43.1% 2.32 —
10.6% 9.43 —

Both to score

31.7% 3.15 —

Corners

57.6% 1.73 —
45.9% 2.18 —
34.5% 2.9 —
25.1% 3.98 —
17.6% 5.67 —
54.1% 1.85 —
65.5% 1.53 —
74.9% 1.34 —
82.3% 1.21 —

Home corners

59.0% 1.69 —
42.1% 2.38 —
27.7% 3.61 —

Away corners

56.1% 1.78 —
39.2% 2.55 —
25.4% 3.94 —

Cards

90.6% 1.1 —
81.0% 1.24 —
68.4% 1.46 —
54.1% 1.85 —
19.1% 5.25 —
31.6% 3.17 —
45.9% 2.18 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds