Fixtures / LaLiga / 2027-01-03
Villarreal – Sevilla
Home
64%
1.56 fair
Draw
19%
5.14 fair
Away
16%
6.14 fair
Expected Goals3.3
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.565%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
63.6%
→
64.2%
+0.6 pp
Draw
19.1%
→
19.5%
+0.4 pp
Away
17.3%
→
16.3%
-1.0 pp
Over 2.5
64.3%
→
64.6%
+0.3 pp
Both teams to score
58.7%
→
58.4%
-0.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.33 →
3.3
-0.03
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.14 | — | |||
| 83.7% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.17 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.8% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
Both halves
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — |
HT/FT
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.58 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.45 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.39 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.73 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.25 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.66 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.14 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — |
Total goals
| 96.1% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.33 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — |
1st-half goals
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — |
Home team goals
| 89.2% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — |
Both to score
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — |
Corners
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — |
Away corners
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — |
Cards
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds