Fixtures / LaLiga / 2027-01-03
Vallecano – Ath Madrid
Home
24%
4.08 fair
Draw
26%
3.8 fair
Away
49%
2.03 fair
Expected Goals2.4
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.543%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.6%
→
24.5%
-0.1 pp
Draw
26.2%
→
26.3%
+0.1 pp
Away
49.2%
→
49.2%
-0.0 pp
Over 2.5
43.3%
→
43.4%
+0.1 pp
Both teams to score
47.3%
→
46.7%
-0.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.42 →
2.4
-0.02
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.07 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — |
Both halves
| 4.6% | 21.88 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.8% | 6.77 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.92 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 32.79 | — | |||
| 8.8% | 11.43 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.98 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.13 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — |
Total goals
| 91.1% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.55 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — |
Home team goals
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Both to score
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — |
Corners
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — |
Away corners
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — |
Cards
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds