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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2027-01-03

Sociedad – Osasuna

Home 54% 1.85 fair
Draw 23% 4.33 fair
Away 23% 4.36 fair
Expected Goals2.86
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.554%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 53.7% → 54.0% +0.3 pp
Draw 23.5% → 23.1% -0.4 pp
Away 22.8% → 22.9% +0.2 pp
Over 2.5 54.4% → 54.5% +0.1 pp
Both teams to score 54.8% → 54.9% +0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.86 → 2.86 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.67 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.13 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

54.0% 1.85 —
23.1% 4.33 —
22.9% 4.36 —
77.1% 1.3 —
46.0% 2.17 —
76.9% 1.3 —

Half-time result

39.7% 2.52 —
41.2% 2.43 —
19.1% 5.24 —

Half-time double chance

80.9% 1.24 —
60.3% 1.66 —
58.8% 1.7 —

Both halves

17.1% 5.84 —

HT/FT

32.9% 3.04 —
5.0% 20.2 —
18.2% 5.49 —
13.5% 7.4 —
9.5% 10.54 —
4.6% 21.55 —
11.6% 8.62 —

HT/FT double chance

69.6% 1.44 —
62.5% 1.6 —
29.8% 3.36 —
45.3% 2.21 —
49.2% 2.03 —
23.0% 4.34 —
39.2% 2.55 —
42.2% 2.37 —
39.2% 2.55 —

Total goals

94.2% 1.06 —
77.8% 1.29 —
54.5% 1.84 —
32.1% 3.12 —
22.2% 4.5 —
45.5% 2.2 —
67.9% 1.47 —

1st-half goals

69.3% 1.44 —
33.2% 3.01 —

Home team goals

82.9% 1.21 —
53.2% 1.88 —

Away team goals

66.1% 1.51 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Both to score

54.9% 1.82 —

Corners

69.6% 1.44 —
59.3% 1.69 —
48.7% 2.05 —
37.8% 2.65 —
28.8% 3.47 —
40.7% 2.46 —
51.3% 1.95 —
62.3% 1.61 —
71.2% 1.41 —

Home corners

79.5% 1.26 —
66.9% 1.5 —
52.9% 1.89 —

Away corners

46.3% 2.16 —
29.7% 3.37 —
17.5% 5.71 —

Cards

81.9% 1.22 —
68.6% 1.46 —
54.0% 1.85 —
40.0% 2.5 —
31.4% 3.18 —
46.0% 2.17 —
60.0% 1.67 —

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