Fixtures / LaLiga / 2027-01-03
Santander – Ath Bilbao
Home
26%
3.89 fair
Draw
21%
4.7 fair
Away
53%
1.89 fair
Expected Goals3.46
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.567%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.4%
→
25.7%
+1.3 pp
Draw
21.3%
→
21.3%
-0.0 pp
Away
54.3%
→
53.0%
-1.3 pp
Over 2.5
67.2%
→
66.9%
-0.2 pp
Both teams to score
65.3%
→
65.2%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.46 →
3.46
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.7 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
Both halves
| 6.1% | 16.31 | — |
HT/FT
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.93 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.77 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.94 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.33 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.15 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — |
Total goals
| 96.7% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — |
1st-half goals
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — |
Away team goals
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — |
Both to score
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — |
Corners
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — |
Home corners
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — |
Away corners
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — |
Cards
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds