Fixtures / LaLiga / 2027-01-03
Malaga – Elche
Home
25%
4.02 fair
Draw
27%
3.75 fair
Away
48%
2.06 fair
Expected Goals2.4
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.543%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
26.0%
→
24.9%
-1.2 pp
Draw
26.6%
→
26.7%
+0.1 pp
Away
47.4%
→
48.5%
+1.1 pp
Over 2.5
43.5%
→
42.7%
-0.8 pp
Both teams to score
48.0%
→
47.0%
-1.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.43 →
2.4
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.8% | 5.04 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
Both halves
| 4.4% | 22.78 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.88 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 9.97 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.85 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.98 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.88 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — |
Total goals
| 91.0% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — |
Home team goals
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — |
Both to score
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — |
Corners
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — |
Home corners
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — |
Away corners
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.96 | — |
Cards
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds