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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2027-01-03

Espanol – Barcelona

Home 13% 7.47 fair
Draw 18% 5.68 fair
Away 69% 1.45 fair
Expected Goals3.31
Most Likely Score0-2
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.564%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 13.4% → 13.4% 0.0 pp
Draw 18.4% → 17.6% -0.8 pp
Away 68.2% → 69.0% +0.9 pp
Over 2.5 64.9% → 63.7% -1.2 pp
Both teams to score 56.9% → 55.4% -1.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.35 → 3.31 -0.04
Most Likely Score 0-2 → 0-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.12 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.81 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

13.4% 7.47 —
17.6% 5.68 —
69.0% 1.45 —
31.0% 3.23 —
86.6% 1.15 —
82.4% 1.21 —

Half-time result

14.5% 6.92 —
35.3% 2.84 —
50.3% 1.99 —

Half-time double chance

49.7% 2.01 —
85.5% 1.17 —
64.7% 1.54 —

HT/FT

6.9% 14.43 —
3.9% 25.45 —
3.6% 27.78 —
5.2% 19.08 —
9.9% 10.08 —
20.1% 4.97 —
3.8% 26.6 —
45.3% 2.21 —

HT/FT double chance

26.0% 3.84 —
35.9% 2.79 —
37.5% 2.66 —
15.8% 6.32 —
57.0% 1.75 —
56.6% 1.77 —
20.1% 4.97 —
71.9% 1.39 —
79.1% 1.26 —

Total goals

96.3% 1.04 —
84.0% 1.19 —
63.7% 1.57 —
42.3% 2.36 —
16.0% 6.25 —
36.3% 2.76 —
57.7% 1.73 —

1st-half goals

75.3% 1.33 —
40.7% 2.46 —

Home team goals

61.0% 1.64 —
24.7% 4.05 —

Away team goals

90.7% 1.1 —
67.9% 1.47 —

Both to score

55.4% 1.81 —

Corners

73.5% 1.36 —
63.6% 1.57 —
53.0% 1.89 —
42.7% 2.34 —
33.2% 3.01 —
36.4% 2.75 —
47.0% 2.13 —
57.3% 1.75 —
66.8% 1.5 —

Home corners

54.1% 1.85 —
37.4% 2.68 —
24.0% 4.17 —

Away corners

79.5% 1.26 —
67.0% 1.49 —
53.6% 1.86 —

Cards

79.2% 1.26 —
64.5% 1.55 —
49.8% 2.01 —
35.8% 2.79 —
35.4% 2.82 —
50.2% 1.99 —
64.2% 1.56 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds