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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2027-01-03

Celta – La Coruna

Home 43% 2.31 fair
Draw 28% 3.57 fair
Away 29% 3.48 fair
Expected Goals2.28
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.540%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 45.0% → 43.3% -1.7 pp
Draw 26.7% → 28.0% +1.3 pp
Away 28.3% → 28.7% +0.4 pp
Over 2.5 45.9% → 39.9% -6.0 pp
Both teams to score 50.7% → 45.6% -5.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.52 → 2.28 -0.24
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.83 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.7 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.3% 2.31 —
28.0% 3.57 —
28.7% 3.48 —
71.3% 1.4 —
56.7% 1.76 —
72.0% 1.39 —

Half-time result

35.7% 2.8 —
48.6% 2.06 —
15.7% 6.38 —

Half-time double chance

84.3% 1.19 —
64.3% 1.55 —
51.4% 1.95 —

Both halves

10.9% 9.17 —

HT/FT

27.1% 3.69 —
6.2% 16.08 —
14.9% 6.69 —
18.7% 5.35 —
15.0% 6.67 —
3.1% 32.47 —
11.4% 8.79 —

HT/FT double chance

67.0% 1.49 —
59.4% 1.68 —
42.2% 2.37 —
37.6% 2.66 —
42.0% 2.38 —
23.0% 4.34 —
37.9% 2.64 —
42.5% 2.35 —
48.1% 2.08 —

Total goals

89.7% 1.11 —
66.2% 1.51 —
39.9% 2.51 —
19.4% 5.16 —
33.8% 2.96 —
60.2% 1.66 —
80.6% 1.24 —

1st-half goals

59.4% 1.68 —
23.2% 4.3 —

Home team goals

72.2% 1.38 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Away team goals

63.1% 1.58 —
25.8% 3.88 —

Both to score

45.6% 2.19 —

Corners

61.5% 1.63 —
50.6% 1.98 —
39.4% 2.54 —
29.2% 3.43 —
21.2% 4.72 —
49.4% 2.02 —
60.6% 1.65 —
70.8% 1.41 —
78.8% 1.27 —

Home corners

63.0% 1.59 —
46.6% 2.15 —
32.2% 3.1 —

Away corners

57.6% 1.73 —
40.8% 2.45 —
26.9% 3.72 —

Cards

79.0% 1.27 —
63.8% 1.57 —
47.6% 2.1 —
33.4% 3.0 —
36.2% 2.76 —
52.4% 1.91 —
66.6% 1.5 —

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