Chelsea – Newcastle
Home
47%
2.13 fair
Draw
22%
4.48 fair
Away
31%
3.26 fair
Expected Goals3.25
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
47.4%
→
47.0%
-0.4 pp
Draw
22.3%
→
22.3%
+0.0 pp
Away
30.3%
→
30.7%
+0.4 pp
Over 2.5
64.4%
→
63.0%
-1.4 pp
Both teams to score
64.3%
→
63.4%
-0.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.31 →
3.25
-0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.66 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — |
Both halves
| 14.5% | 6.87 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.31 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.97 | — | |||
| 11.6% | 8.61 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.12 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.15 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.15 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — |
Total goals
| 96.1% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.96 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — |
1st-half goals
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — |
Both to score
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — |
Corners
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Home corners
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
Away corners
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — |
Cards
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds