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Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-25

Harrogate – Kidderminster

Home 54% 1.85 fair
Draw 24% 4.08 fair
Away 21% 4.68 fair
Expected Goals2.49
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 39.8% → 54.2% +14.4 pp
Draw 25.3% → 24.5% -0.8 pp
Away 35.0% → 21.3% -13.6 pp
Over 2.5 52.0% → 45.8% -6.2 pp
Both teams to score 55.5% → 46.6% -8.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.77 → 2.49 -0.28
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.4 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.54 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

54.2% 1.85 —
24.5% 4.08 —
21.3% 4.68 —
78.6% 1.27 —
45.8% 2.18 —
75.5% 1.32 —

Half-time result

44.5% 2.25 —
36.1% 2.77 —
19.4% 5.16 —

Half-time double chance

80.6% 1.24 —
55.5% 1.8 —
63.8% 1.57 —

Both halves

16.2% 6.16 —

HT/FT

39.1% 2.56 —
4.3% 22.99 —
13.4% 7.44 —
15.9% 6.29 —
6.8% 14.68 —
4.2% 23.64 —
13.5% 7.39 —

HT/FT double chance

72.8% 1.37 —
60.4% 1.66 —
28.1% 3.56 —
49.3% 2.03 —
55.3% 1.81 —
23.1% 4.32 —
35.2% 2.84 —
35.4% 2.82 —
40.5% 2.47 —

Total goals

91.8% 1.09 —
70.8% 1.41 —
45.8% 2.18 —
24.1% 4.15 —
29.2% 3.42 —
54.2% 1.84 —
75.9% 1.32 —

1st-half goals

76.4% 1.31 —
42.9% 2.33 —

Home team goals

79.8% 1.25 —
47.6% 2.1 —

Away team goals

58.6% 1.71 —
22.7% 4.4 —

Both to score

46.6% 2.14 —

Corners

69.8% 1.43 —
58.2% 1.72 —
46.3% 2.16 —
35.0% 2.86 —
25.1% 3.98 —
41.8% 2.39 —
53.7% 1.86 —
65.0% 1.54 —
74.9% 1.34 —

Home corners

78.4% 1.27 —
63.8% 1.57 —
47.9% 2.09 —

Away corners

51.2% 1.95 —
33.1% 3.03 —
19.2% 5.2 —

Cards

79.4% 1.26 —
62.5% 1.6 —
45.8% 2.18 —
31.1% 3.22 —
37.5% 2.67 —
54.2% 1.85 —
68.9% 1.45 —

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