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Fixtures / National League / 2027-01-02

Hornchurch – Hartlepool

Home 39% 2.6 fair
Draw 27% 3.77 fair
Away 35% 2.86 fair
Expected Goals2.51
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.6% → 38.5% -0.0 pp
Draw 26.4% → 26.6% +0.1 pp
Away 35.0% → 34.9% -0.1 pp
Over 2.5 45.8% → 45.7% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 50.7% → 50.8% +0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.51 → 2.51 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.66 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.46 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.5% 2.6 —
26.6% 3.77 —
34.9% 2.86 —
65.1% 1.54 —
61.5% 1.63 —
73.5% 1.36 —

Half-time result

24.4% 4.09 —
50.1% 2.0 —
25.5% 3.92 —

Half-time double chance

74.5% 1.34 —
75.6% 1.32 —
49.9% 2.0 —

Both halves

8.5% 11.82 —

HT/FT

18.4% 5.45 —
4.2% 23.75 —
17.7% 5.65 —
17.4% 5.74 —
14.9% 6.69 —
4.9% 20.33 —
18.1% 5.52 —

HT/FT double chance

57.7% 1.73 —
52.9% 1.89 —
38.5% 2.6 —
29.9% 3.34 —
40.8% 2.45 —
29.1% 3.43 —
42.5% 2.35 —
53.2% 1.88 —
55.4% 1.81 —

Total goals

92.0% 1.09 —
71.4% 1.4 —
45.7% 2.19 —
24.5% 4.08 —
28.6% 3.5 —
54.3% 1.84 —
75.5% 1.32 —

1st-half goals

58.5% 1.71 —
22.2% 4.49 —

Home team goals

72.3% 1.38 —
37.0% 2.7 —

Away team goals

70.5% 1.42 —
34.6% 2.89 —

Both to score

50.8% 1.97 —

Corners

80.6% 1.24 —
70.9% 1.41 —
60.1% 1.66 —
49.1% 2.04 —
38.5% 2.6 —
29.1% 3.44 —
39.9% 2.51 —
50.9% 1.97 —
61.5% 1.63 —

Home corners

82.1% 1.22 —
68.9% 1.45 —
53.7% 1.86 —

Away corners

66.0% 1.52 —
48.0% 2.08 —
32.5% 3.08 —

Cards

64.4% 1.55 —
44.2% 2.26 —
27.5% 3.63 —
15.5% 6.47 —
55.8% 1.79 —
72.5% 1.38 —
84.5% 1.18 —

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