Fixtures / Ligue2 / 2027-01-02
Metz – Nancy
Home
52%
1.91 fair
Draw
23%
4.32 fair
Away
25%
4.06 fair
Expected Goals3.01
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
51.0%
→
52.2%
+1.2 pp
Draw
24.2%
→
23.2%
-1.1 pp
Away
24.7%
→
24.6%
-0.1 pp
Over 2.5
55.5%
→
57.6%
+2.1 pp
Both teams to score
56.7%
→
57.8%
+1.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.93 →
3.01
+0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.93 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — |
Both halves
| 17.0% | 5.9 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.72 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.88 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.28 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.14 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.68 | — | |||
| 9.3% | 10.7 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — |
Total goals
| 94.7% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.82 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — |
Both to score
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — |
Home corners
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — |
Away corners
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — |
Cards
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds