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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2027-01-02

Troyes – Rennes

Home 20% 5.13 fair
Draw 22% 4.56 fair
Away 59% 1.71 fair
Expected Goals2.97
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.557%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 18.3% → 19.5% +1.2 pp
Draw 20.3% → 21.9% +1.7 pp
Away 61.4% → 58.6% -2.8 pp
Over 2.5 61.7% → 57.2% -4.5 pp
Both teams to score 58.1% → 55.2% -2.8 pp
Expected Goals 3.2 → 2.97 -0.23
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.55 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.22 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

19.5% 5.13 —
21.9% 4.56 —
58.6% 1.71 —
41.4% 2.41 —
80.5% 1.24 —
78.1% 1.28 —

Half-time result

24.5% 4.08 —
35.7% 2.8 —
39.8% 2.51 —

Half-time double chance

60.2% 1.66 —
75.5% 1.32 —
64.3% 1.56 —

Both halves

3.5% 28.17 —

HT/FT

13.9% 7.22 —
6.4% 15.67 —
4.2% 23.53 —
5.0% 19.92 —
12.7% 7.91 —
18.0% 5.54 —
36.3% 2.76 —

HT/FT double chance

37.9% 2.64 —
41.2% 2.43 —
41.3% 2.42 —
23.8% 4.21 —
55.0% 1.82 —
49.8% 2.01 —
21.2% 4.71 —
60.0% 1.67 —
69.9% 1.43 —

Total goals

94.6% 1.06 —
79.3% 1.26 —
57.2% 1.75 —
34.9% 2.87 —
20.7% 4.84 —
42.8% 2.34 —
65.1% 1.54 —

1st-half goals

78.5% 1.27 —
46.0% 2.17 —

Home team goals

64.4% 1.55 —
27.8% 3.6 —

Away team goals

85.4% 1.17 —
58.0% 1.72 —

Both to score

55.2% 1.81 —

Corners

69.2% 1.44 —
58.4% 1.71 —
47.2% 2.12 —
36.4% 2.75 —
27.5% 3.64 —
41.6% 2.4 —
52.8% 1.89 —
63.6% 1.57 —
72.5% 1.38 —

Home corners

70.5% 1.42 —
55.1% 1.81 —
40.3% 2.48 —

Away corners

59.9% 1.67 —
43.3% 2.31 —
29.6% 3.38 —

Cards

75.0% 1.33 —
57.5% 1.74 —
40.6% 2.46 —
26.4% 3.79 —
42.5% 2.35 —
59.4% 1.68 —
73.6% 1.36 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds