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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2027-01-02

Toulouse – Angers

Home 58% 1.72 fair
Draw 25% 4.07 fair
Away 17% 5.81 fair
Expected Goals2.37
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 56.5% → 58.2% +1.7 pp
Draw 24.9% → 24.6% -0.4 pp
Away 18.5% → 17.2% -1.3 pp
Over 2.5 41.2% → 42.6% +1.4 pp
Both teams to score 42.2% → 42.3% +0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.33 → 2.37 +0.04
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.15 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.76 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

58.2% 1.72 —
24.6% 4.07 —
17.2% 5.81 —
82.8% 1.21 —
41.8% 2.39 —
75.4% 1.33 —

Half-time result

42.4% 2.36 —
44.2% 2.26 —
13.4% 7.49 —

Half-time double chance

86.6% 1.15 —
57.6% 1.74 —
55.8% 1.79 —

Both halves

18.9% 5.28 —

HT/FT

36.9% 2.71 —
4.5% 22.47 —
19.4% 5.16 —
16.8% 5.97 —
8.1% 12.35 —
3.4% 29.85 —
8.0% 12.44 —

HT/FT double chance

77.5% 1.29 —
65.4% 1.53 —
30.4% 3.29 —
46.6% 2.14 —
48.0% 2.08 —
16.9% 5.91 —
41.5% 2.41 —
37.5% 2.67 —
36.2% 2.76 —

Total goals

90.5% 1.1 —
68.2% 1.47 —
42.6% 2.35 —
21.7% 4.6 —
31.8% 3.14 —
57.4% 1.74 —
78.3% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

64.0% 1.56 —
28.0% 3.58 —

Home team goals

80.0% 1.25 —
48.1% 2.08 —

Away team goals

52.8% 1.89 —
17.4% 5.74 —

Both to score

42.3% 2.36 —

Corners

65.2% 1.53 —
54.0% 1.85 —
42.9% 2.33 —
32.9% 3.04 —
24.1% 4.15 —
46.0% 2.17 —
57.1% 1.75 —
67.1% 1.49 —
75.9% 1.32 —

Home corners

72.6% 1.38 —
57.5% 1.74 —
42.6% 2.35 —

Away corners

51.3% 1.95 —
34.4% 2.9 —
21.2% 4.71 —

Cards

68.7% 1.46 —
50.0% 2.0 —
32.9% 3.04 —
20.1% 4.98 —
50.0% 2.0 —
67.1% 1.49 —
79.9% 1.25 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds