Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2027-01-02
Monaco – Nice
Home
53%
1.89 fair
Draw
23%
4.32 fair
Away
24%
4.18 fair
Expected Goals3.01
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
54.0%
→
52.9%
-1.1 pp
Draw
22.5%
→
23.2%
+0.7 pp
Away
23.5%
→
23.9%
+0.4 pp
Over 2.5
58.6%
→
58.0%
-0.6 pp
Both teams to score
58.3%
→
57.7%
-0.6 pp
Expected Goals
3.04 →
3.01
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.38 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — |
Both halves
| 17.4% | 5.75 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.41 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 6.0 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.5 | — | |||
| 7.8% | 12.76 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.15 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.42 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.85 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — |
Total goals
| 94.6% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.94 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.07 | — |
Both to score
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
Home corners
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Away corners
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
Cards
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds