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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2027-01-02

Lorient – Auxerre

Home 48% 2.07 fair
Draw 26% 3.85 fair
Away 26% 3.88 fair
Expected Goals2.54
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.9% → 48.2% +1.4 pp
Draw 26.0% → 26.0% 0.0 pp
Away 27.2% → 25.8% -1.4 pp
Over 2.5 47.4% → 46.6% -0.8 pp
Both teams to score 51.1% → 50.3% -0.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.56 → 2.54 -0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.54
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.38 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.25 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.2% 2.07 —
26.0% 3.85 —
25.8% 3.88 —
74.2% 1.35 —
51.8% 1.93 —
74.0% 1.35 —

Half-time result

30.9% 3.24 —
49.1% 2.04 —
20.0% 4.99 —

Half-time double chance

80.0% 1.25 —
69.1% 1.45 —
50.9% 1.96 —

Both halves

13.0% 7.69 —

HT/FT

24.9% 4.02 —
4.4% 22.88 —
20.5% 4.88 —
16.9% 5.9 —
11.7% 8.58 —
4.7% 21.41 —
12.5% 7.99 —

HT/FT double chance

66.7% 1.5 —
58.7% 1.7 —
34.6% 2.89 —
36.8% 2.72 —
41.9% 2.39 —
23.2% 4.31 —
45.0% 2.22 —
47.5% 2.1 —
45.8% 2.18 —

Total goals

92.0% 1.09 —
72.1% 1.39 —
46.6% 2.14 —
25.4% 3.94 —
27.9% 3.59 —
53.3% 1.87 —
74.6% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

59.4% 1.68 —
23.1% 4.34 —

Home team goals

77.9% 1.28 —
44.9% 2.23 —

Away team goals

64.4% 1.55 —
27.6% 3.62 —

Both to score

50.3% 1.99 —

Corners

67.3% 1.49 —
56.5% 1.77 —
45.2% 2.21 —
35.3% 2.84 —
26.3% 3.81 —
43.5% 2.3 —
54.8% 1.82 —
64.7% 1.54 —
73.7% 1.36 —

Home corners

65.5% 1.53 —
49.6% 2.02 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Away corners

63.2% 1.58 —
46.9% 2.13 —
32.6% 3.07 —

Cards

75.1% 1.33 —
58.1% 1.72 —
41.3% 2.42 —
27.2% 3.68 —
41.9% 2.39 —
58.7% 1.7 —
72.8% 1.37 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds