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Fixtures / Ligue1 / 2027-01-02

Brest – Marseille

Home 32% 3.17 fair
Draw 23% 4.42 fair
Away 46% 2.18 fair
Expected Goals3.28
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.563%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 30.8% → 31.6% +0.8 pp
Draw 22.8% → 22.6% -0.2 pp
Away 46.4% → 45.8% -0.6 pp
Over 2.5 63.9% → 63.3% -0.6 pp
Both teams to score 64.6% → 64.1% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 3.3 → 3.28 -0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.99 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.25 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.6% 3.17 —
22.6% 4.42 —
45.8% 2.18 —
54.2% 1.85 —
68.5% 1.46 —
77.4% 1.29 —

Half-time result

27.6% 3.63 —
37.9% 2.64 —
34.5% 2.9 —

Half-time double chance

65.5% 1.53 —
72.4% 1.38 —
62.1% 1.61 —

Both halves

7.8% 12.82 —

HT/FT

18.8% 5.32 —
5.4% 18.38 —
3.3% 30.03 —
10.4% 9.6 —
12.2% 8.21 —
15.3% 6.54 —
5.0% 19.92 —
27.2% 3.68 —

HT/FT double chance

46.9% 2.13 —
47.9% 2.09 —
36.2% 2.76 —
31.6% 3.17 —
51.6% 1.94 —
41.0% 2.44 —
29.9% 3.34 —
55.2% 1.81 —
59.7% 1.68 —

Total goals

96.3% 1.04 —
83.7% 1.2 —
63.3% 1.58 —
41.5% 2.41 —
16.3% 6.12 —
36.7% 2.73 —
58.5% 1.71 —

1st-half goals

76.0% 1.32 —
41.9% 2.39 —

Home team goals

76.9% 1.3 —
43.0% 2.33 —

Away team goals

83.5% 1.2 —
53.9% 1.86 —

Both to score

64.1% 1.56 —

Corners

63.9% 1.56 —
52.2% 1.92 —
41.0% 2.44 —
31.2% 3.21 —
22.8% 4.39 —
47.8% 2.09 —
59.0% 1.7 —
68.8% 1.45 —
77.2% 1.29 —

Home corners

51.7% 1.93 —
34.6% 2.89 —
21.5% 4.65 —

Away corners

70.2% 1.43 —
54.7% 1.83 —
40.2% 2.48 —

Cards

74.9% 1.34 —
58.0% 1.72 —
41.3% 2.42 —
27.1% 3.69 —
42.0% 2.38 —
58.7% 1.7 —
72.9% 1.37 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds