Bournemouth – Aston Villa
Home
42%
2.39 fair
Draw
24%
4.18 fair
Away
34%
2.92 fair
Expected Goals2.99
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.0%
→
41.8%
+0.8 pp
Draw
24.6%
→
23.9%
-0.7 pp
Away
34.4%
→
34.3%
-0.1 pp
Over 2.5
55.4%
→
57.4%
+2.0 pp
Both teams to score
58.0%
→
59.8%
+1.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.89 →
2.99
+0.1
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — |
Both halves
| 11.6% | 8.59 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 14.97 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.35 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.62 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.67 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.05 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.75 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — |
Total goals
| 95.2% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — |
Both to score
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Corners
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — |
Home corners
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — |
Away corners
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — |
Cards
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds