Brighton – Man United
Home
53%
1.88 fair
Draw
23%
4.35 fair
Away
24%
4.2 fair
Expected Goals3.08
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
51.8%
→
53.2%
+1.4 pp
Draw
23.3%
→
23.0%
-0.3 pp
Away
24.9%
→
23.8%
-1.1 pp
Over 2.5
57.7%
→
59.1%
+1.4 pp
Both teams to score
58.0%
→
59.4%
+1.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.0 →
3.08
+0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.2 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — |
Both halves
| 17.2% | 5.83 | — |
HT/FT
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.27 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.31 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.86 | — | |||
| 8.6% | 11.66 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.97 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.36 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.25 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Total goals
| 95.3% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.7% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — |
Both to score
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — |
Corners
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — |
Away corners
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — |
Cards
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds