Fixtures / League Two / 2027-01-01
Swindon – Crawley Town
Home
56%
1.79 fair
Draw
23%
4.29 fair
Away
21%
4.78 fair
Expected Goals2.81
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
55.9%
→
55.8%
-0.1 pp
Draw
22.8%
→
23.3%
+0.5 pp
Away
21.3%
→
20.9%
-0.4 pp
Over 2.5
53.3%
→
52.9%
-0.4 pp
Both teams to score
52.6%
→
53.1%
+0.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.81 →
2.81
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.78 | — | |||
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 15.6% | 6.41 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.4% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — |
Both halves
| 18.6% | 5.39 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.48 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.27 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.13 | — | |||
| 9.6% | 10.43 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.91 | — | |||
| 9.3% | 10.75 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.85 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — |
Both to score
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — |
Corners
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — |
Home corners
| 84.3% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Away corners
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — |
Cards
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.65 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds