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Fixtures / League Two / 2027-01-01

Rochdale – Chesterfield

Home 22% 4.46 fair
Draw 22% 4.58 fair
Away 56% 1.79 fair
Expected Goals3.32
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.564%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 22.3% → 22.4% +0.2 pp
Draw 21.8% → 21.8% +0.0 pp
Away 55.9% → 55.8% -0.2 pp
Over 2.5 64.3% → 64.1% -0.2 pp
Both teams to score 62.6% → 62.9% +0.3 pp
Expected Goals 3.32 → 3.32 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.68 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.09 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

22.4% 4.46 —
21.8% 4.58 —
55.8% 1.79 —
44.2% 2.26 —
77.6% 1.29 —
78.2% 1.28 —

Half-time result

17.3% 5.78 —
31.3% 3.19 —
51.4% 1.95 —

Half-time double chance

48.6% 2.06 —
82.7% 1.21 —
68.7% 1.46 —

Both halves

4.3% 23.31 —

HT/FT

11.5% 8.72 —
3.8% 26.39 —
8.5% 11.79 —
11.1% 9.01 —
11.8% 8.5 —
6.9% 14.43 —
42.0% 2.38 —

HT/FT double chance

34.8% 2.87 —
33.7% 2.97 —
28.7% 3.49 —
24.7% 4.05 —
57.9% 1.73 —
54.7% 1.83 —
29.0% 3.45 —
64.7% 1.55 —
71.8% 1.39 —

Total goals

96.6% 1.04 —
84.5% 1.18 —
64.1% 1.56 —
42.0% 2.38 —
15.5% 6.46 —
35.9% 2.79 —
58.0% 1.72 —

1st-half goals

82.0% 1.22 —
50.7% 1.97 —

Home team goals

71.9% 1.39 —
35.5% 2.82 —

Away team goals

87.6% 1.14 —
61.0% 1.64 —

Both to score

62.9% 1.59 —

Corners

71.3% 1.4 —
59.9% 1.67 —
48.6% 2.06 —
37.9% 2.64 —
28.5% 3.5 —
40.1% 2.5 —
51.4% 1.94 —
62.1% 1.61 —
71.5% 1.4 —

Home corners

62.5% 1.6 —
45.2% 2.21 —
30.6% 3.27 —

Away corners

71.7% 1.4 —
56.2% 1.78 —
41.2% 2.42 —

Cards

74.1% 1.35 —
56.1% 1.78 —
38.4% 2.61 —
24.5% 4.09 —
43.9% 2.28 —
61.6% 1.62 —
75.5% 1.32 —

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