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Fixtures / League Two / 2027-01-01

Newport County – Barnet

Home 25% 4.02 fair
Draw 23% 4.27 fair
Away 52% 1.93 fair
Expected Goals3.07
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.559%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 25.1% → 24.9% -0.2 pp
Draw 23.1% → 23.4% +0.4 pp
Away 51.8% → 51.7% -0.1 pp
Over 2.5 59.2% → 59.2% -0.0 pp
Both teams to score 59.7% → 59.5% -0.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.07 → 3.07 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.07
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.85 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.21 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

24.9% 4.02 —
23.4% 4.27 —
51.7% 1.93 —
48.3% 2.07 —
75.1% 1.33 —
76.6% 1.31 —

Half-time result

28.6% 3.49 —
37.9% 2.64 —
33.5% 2.99 —

Half-time double chance

66.5% 1.5 —
71.4% 1.4 —
62.1% 1.61 —

Both halves

5.2% 19.08 —

HT/FT

16.9% 5.92 —
7.3% 13.76 —
4.5% 22.27 —
7.0% 14.35 —
12.6% 7.92 —
18.3% 5.46 —
3.5% 28.57 —
28.9% 3.46 —

HT/FT double chance

43.7% 2.29 —
46.6% 2.14 —
42.7% 2.34 —
28.7% 3.49 —
51.3% 1.95 —
44.2% 2.26 —
24.1% 4.14 —
55.2% 1.81 —
63.3% 1.58 —

Total goals

95.2% 1.05 —
81.3% 1.23 —
59.2% 1.69 —
36.7% 2.73 —
18.7% 5.34 —
40.8% 2.45 —
63.3% 1.58 —

1st-half goals

75.7% 1.32 —
40.8% 2.45 —

Home team goals

70.3% 1.42 —
35.0% 2.86 —

Away team goals

84.3% 1.19 —
55.3% 1.81 —

Both to score

59.5% 1.68 —

Corners

72.7% 1.38 —
61.9% 1.61 —
50.6% 1.97 —
40.0% 2.5 —
30.4% 3.29 —
38.1% 2.63 —
49.4% 2.03 —
60.0% 1.67 —
69.6% 1.44 —

Home corners

47.5% 2.11 —
30.6% 3.27 —
17.6% 5.68 —

Away corners

81.6% 1.22 —
69.4% 1.44 —
55.6% 1.8 —

Cards

75.5% 1.32 —
58.1% 1.72 —
40.6% 2.46 —
26.0% 3.84 —
41.9% 2.38 —
59.4% 1.68 —
74.0% 1.35 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds