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Fixtures / League Two / 2027-01-01

Accrington – Shrewsbury

Home 51% 1.97 fair
Draw 26% 3.8 fair
Away 23% 4.34 fair
Expected Goals2.52
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 51.2% → 50.7% -0.5 pp
Draw 25.6% → 26.3% +0.7 pp
Away 23.3% → 23.0% -0.3 pp
Over 2.5 45.8% → 46.0% +0.2 pp
Both teams to score 48.4% → 49.1% +0.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.51 → 2.52 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.79 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.53 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

50.7% 1.97 —
26.3% 3.8 —
23.0% 4.34 —
77.0% 1.3 —
49.3% 2.03 —
73.7% 1.36 —

Half-time result

43.1% 2.32 —
40.9% 2.44 —
15.9% 6.28 —

Half-time double chance

84.1% 1.19 —
56.9% 1.76 —
59.1% 1.69 —

Both halves

15.3% 6.54 —

HT/FT

34.9% 2.86 —
6.2% 16.1 —
14.2% 7.03 —
16.5% 6.06 —
10.2% 9.78 —
3.6% 28.01 —
10.8% 9.24 —

HT/FT double chance

71.9% 1.39 —
61.3% 1.63 —
34.9% 2.86 —
46.2% 2.16 —
49.3% 2.03 —
22.6% 4.42 —
35.8% 2.79 —
36.8% 2.72 —
41.1% 2.43 —

Total goals

91.5% 1.09 —
71.5% 1.4 —
46.0% 2.17 —
25.2% 3.97 —
28.5% 3.51 —
54.0% 1.85 —
74.8% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

68.9% 1.45 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Home team goals

78.5% 1.27 —
46.2% 2.16 —

Away team goals

62.1% 1.61 —
24.9% 4.02 —

Both to score

49.1% 2.04 —

Corners

62.2% 1.61 —
50.5% 1.98 —
38.9% 2.57 —
28.8% 3.47 —
20.2% 4.96 —
49.5% 2.02 —
61.2% 1.64 —
71.2% 1.4 —
79.8% 1.25 —

Home corners

61.9% 1.62 —
44.6% 2.24 —
29.6% 3.38 —

Away corners

60.0% 1.67 —
43.0% 2.32 —
28.2% 3.54 —

Cards

79.4% 1.26 —
63.1% 1.58 —
46.2% 2.16 —
31.0% 3.22 —
36.9% 2.71 —
53.8% 1.86 —
69.0% 1.45 —

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