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Fixtures / EPL / 2027-01-01

Leeds – Everton

Home 39% 2.59 fair
Draw 30% 3.34 fair
Away 31% 3.18 fair
Expected Goals2.16
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.537%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 39.9% → 38.6% -1.3 pp
Draw 28.9% → 30.0% +1.0 pp
Away 31.2% → 31.4% +0.3 pp
Over 2.5 37.9% → 36.5% -1.3 pp
Both teams to score 44.4% → 43.8% -0.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.2 → 2.16 -0.04
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.16
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.62 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.61 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.6% 2.59 —
30.0% 3.34 —
31.4% 3.18 —
68.5% 1.46 —
61.4% 1.63 —
70.0% 1.43 —

Half-time result

30.9% 3.24 —
54.7% 1.83 —
14.4% 6.93 —

Half-time double chance

85.6% 1.17 —
69.2% 1.45 —
45.3% 2.21 —

Both halves

9.3% 10.8 —

HT/FT

22.1% 4.51 —
6.1% 16.34 —
15.4% 6.48 —
21.1% 4.75 —
18.2% 5.49 —
10.7% 9.37 —

HT/FT double chance

64.8% 1.54 —
58.4% 1.71 —
48.0% 2.08 —
32.0% 3.12 —
36.4% 2.75 —
22.2% 4.51 —
40.3% 2.48 —
45.3% 2.21 —
52.7% 1.9 —

Total goals

88.1% 1.14 —
63.6% 1.57 —
36.5% 2.74 —
17.6% 5.68 —
36.4% 2.75 —
63.5% 1.58 —
82.4% 1.21 —

1st-half goals

51.4% 1.94 —
16.4% 6.1 —

Home team goals

68.3% 1.46 —
32.0% 3.12 —

Away team goals

63.6% 1.57 —
26.8% 3.74 —

Both to score

43.8% 2.28 —

Corners

69.7% 1.44 —
59.0% 1.69 —
48.2% 2.08 —
37.4% 2.67 —
28.1% 3.56 —
41.0% 2.44 —
51.8% 1.93 —
62.6% 1.6 —
71.9% 1.39 —

Home corners

73.2% 1.37 —
58.7% 1.7 —
44.2% 2.26 —

Away corners

57.4% 1.74 —
40.5% 2.47 —
26.7% 3.75 —

Cards

66.0% 1.51 —
46.4% 2.15 —
30.4% 3.29 —
18.2% 5.48 —
53.6% 1.87 —
69.6% 1.44 —
81.8% 1.22 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds