Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-23
Ceuta – Almeria
Home
20%
5.01 fair
Draw
21%
4.87 fair
Away
60%
1.68 fair
Expected Goals3.38
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.566%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
21.8%
→
20.0%
-1.8 pp
Draw
20.5%
→
20.5%
-0.0 pp
Away
57.7%
→
59.5%
+1.8 pp
Over 2.5
67.0%
→
65.8%
-1.2 pp
Both teams to score
63.8%
→
62.3%
-1.6 pp
Expected Goals
3.45 →
3.38
-0.07
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.87 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.4% | 5.16 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — |
Both halves
| 3.8% | 26.6 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.1% | 8.98 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.83 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.15 | — | |||
| 7.2% | 13.79 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.24 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.22 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.41 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — |
Total goals
| 96.8% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.76 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
1st-half goals
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — |
Home team goals
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — |
Away team goals
| 88.9% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — |
Both to score
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — |
Corners
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — |
Away corners
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — |
Cards
| 89.1% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds