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Fixtures / Scotland / 2026-12-30

Kilmarnock – Falkirk

Home 31% 3.19 fair
Draw 25% 4.08 fair
Away 44% 2.27 fair
Expected Goals2.94
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 35.1% → 31.4% -3.8 pp
Draw 25.4% → 24.5% -0.9 pp
Away 39.5% → 44.1% +4.7 pp
Over 2.5 53.7% → 56.3% +2.6 pp
Both teams to score 57.4% → 58.9% +1.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.85 → 2.94 +0.09
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.94 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.18 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.4% 3.19 —
24.5% 4.08 —
44.1% 2.27 —
55.9% 1.79 —
68.7% 1.46 —
75.5% 1.32 —

Half-time result

25.8% 3.87 —
35.2% 2.84 —
39.0% 2.56 —

Half-time double chance

61.0% 1.64 —
74.2% 1.35 —
64.8% 1.54 —

Both halves

7.5% 13.28 —

HT/FT

19.2% 5.21 —
4.7% 21.28 —
10.0% 10.01 —
13.9% 7.22 —
11.3% 8.82 —
6.0% 16.75 —
30.9% 3.24 —

HT/FT double chance

47.7% 2.1 —
42.4% 2.36 —
31.8% 3.14 —
32.0% 3.12 —
54.1% 1.85 —
43.5% 2.3 —
32.0% 3.12 —
54.4% 1.84 —
62.0% 1.61 —

Total goals

94.6% 1.06 —
79.4% 1.26 —
56.3% 1.78 —
33.8% 2.96 —
20.6% 4.85 —
43.7% 2.29 —
66.2% 1.51 —

1st-half goals

79.2% 1.26 —
46.6% 2.15 —

Home team goals

73.4% 1.36 —
38.3% 2.61 —

Away team goals

80.0% 1.25 —
48.2% 2.08 —

Both to score

58.9% 1.7 —

Corners

72.7% 1.38 —
62.3% 1.6 —
51.4% 1.95 —
41.6% 2.4 —
31.5% 3.17 —
37.7% 2.65 —
48.6% 2.06 —
58.4% 1.71 —
68.5% 1.46 —

Home corners

73.7% 1.36 —
59.3% 1.69 —
45.0% 2.22 —

Away corners

61.9% 1.62 —
45.0% 2.22 —
31.0% 3.23 —

Cards

75.9% 1.32 —
57.8% 1.73 —
40.1% 2.49 —
25.6% 3.91 —
42.2% 2.37 —
59.9% 1.67 —
74.4% 1.34 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds