Aston Villa – Liverpool
Home
34%
2.95 fair
Draw
24%
4.24 fair
Away
43%
2.35 fair
Expected Goals3.11
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.1%
→
33.9%
-0.3 pp
Draw
24.7%
→
23.6%
-1.1 pp
Away
41.2%
→
42.5%
+1.3 pp
Over 2.5
57.8%
→
59.7%
+1.9 pp
Both teams to score
60.9%
→
61.8%
+0.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.02 →
3.11
+0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — |
Both halves
| 8.6% | 11.6 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.3% | 5.19 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.92 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 30.77 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.03 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.57 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.75 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — |
Total goals
| 95.6% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — |
Away team goals
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — |
Both to score
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — |
Corners
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
Home corners
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — |
Away corners
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — |
Cards
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds