Man United – Sunderland
Home
51%
1.95 fair
Draw
24%
4.08 fair
Away
24%
4.13 fair
Expected Goals2.63
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.0%
→
51.3%
+1.3 pp
Draw
25.6%
→
24.5%
-1.1 pp
Away
24.4%
→
24.2%
-0.3 pp
Over 2.5
46.8%
→
49.3%
+2.5 pp
Both teams to score
49.7%
→
51.0%
+1.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.55 →
2.63
+0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.4 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 86.5% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
Both halves
| 15.3% | 6.53 | — |
HT/FT
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.37 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.44 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.91 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.1 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.87 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — |
Total goals
| 92.8% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — |
Both to score
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — |
Corners
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — |
Away corners
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — |
Cards
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds