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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-30

Man United – Sunderland

Home 51% 1.95 fair
Draw 24% 4.08 fair
Away 24% 4.13 fair
Expected Goals2.63
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 50.0% → 51.3% +1.3 pp
Draw 25.6% → 24.5% -1.1 pp
Away 24.4% → 24.2% -0.3 pp
Over 2.5 46.8% → 49.3% +2.5 pp
Both teams to score 49.7% → 51.0% +1.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.55 → 2.63 +0.08
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.6 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.38 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

51.3% 1.95 —
24.5% 4.08 —
24.2% 4.13 —
75.8% 1.32 —
48.7% 2.05 —
75.5% 1.32 —

Half-time result

40.8% 2.45 —
45.7% 2.19 —
13.5% 7.4 —

Half-time double chance

86.5% 1.16 —
59.2% 1.69 —
54.3% 1.84 —

Both halves

15.3% 6.53 —

HT/FT

32.1% 3.11 —
6.1% 16.37 —
17.6% 5.69 —
15.5% 6.44 —
12.7% 7.91 —
9.0% 11.1 —

HT/FT double chance

71.3% 1.4 —
64.9% 1.54 —
36.8% 2.72 —
42.7% 2.34 —
45.3% 2.21 —
20.5% 4.87 —
37.6% 2.66 —
40.9% 2.45 —
40.1% 2.5 —

Total goals

92.8% 1.08 —
73.9% 1.35 —
49.3% 2.03 —
26.8% 3.73 —
26.1% 3.83 —
50.7% 1.97 —
73.2% 1.37 —

1st-half goals

61.7% 1.62 —
25.2% 3.97 —

Home team goals

80.0% 1.25 —
48.0% 2.08 —

Away team goals

63.7% 1.57 —
27.2% 3.67 —

Both to score

51.0% 1.96 —

Corners

69.6% 1.44 —
58.7% 1.7 —
47.5% 2.1 —
37.4% 2.68 —
28.4% 3.52 —
41.3% 2.42 —
52.5% 1.91 —
62.6% 1.6 —
71.6% 1.4 —

Home corners

75.5% 1.32 —
61.8% 1.62 —
47.5% 2.1 —

Away corners

53.3% 1.88 —
36.2% 2.76 —
23.1% 4.32 —

Cards

76.1% 1.31 —
60.2% 1.66 —
43.5% 2.3 —
29.0% 3.45 —
39.8% 2.51 —
56.5% 1.77 —
71.0% 1.41 —

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