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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-12-30

Crystal Palace – Bournemouth

Home 32% 3.11 fair
Draw 26% 3.91 fair
Away 42% 2.37 fair
Expected Goals2.74
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

4 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 33.5% → 32.2% -1.4 pp
Draw 26.1% → 25.6% -0.5 pp
Away 40.4% → 42.2% +1.8 pp
Over 2.5 51.6% → 51.8% +0.2 pp
Both teams to score 55.7% → 55.5% -0.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.74 → 2.74 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.37 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.29 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

32.2% 3.11 —
25.6% 3.91 —
42.2% 2.37 —
57.8% 1.73 —
67.8% 1.47 —
74.4% 1.34 —

Half-time result

25.4% 3.94 —
41.3% 2.42 —
33.3% 3.0 —

Half-time double chance

66.7% 1.5 —
74.6% 1.34 —
58.7% 1.7 —

Both halves

7.4% 13.55 —

HT/FT

17.9% 5.57 —
5.1% 19.53 —
12.0% 8.32 —
15.0% 6.64 —
14.2% 7.03 —
5.4% 18.48 —
25.7% 3.89 —

HT/FT double chance

50.1% 1.99 —
46.5% 2.15 —
36.7% 2.72 —
30.7% 3.26 —
48.1% 2.08 —
38.6% 2.59 —
34.7% 2.88 —
54.1% 1.85 —
60.4% 1.66 —

Total goals

93.6% 1.07 —
75.9% 1.32 —
51.8% 1.93 —
29.6% 3.38 —
24.1% 4.16 —
48.2% 2.07 —
70.4% 1.42 —

1st-half goals

70.6% 1.42 —
34.5% 2.9 —

Home team goals

71.7% 1.4 —
35.8% 2.79 —

Away team goals

77.4% 1.29 —
43.7% 2.29 —

Both to score

55.5% 1.8 —

Corners

76.0% 1.32 —
66.3% 1.51 —
55.7% 1.8 —
45.2% 2.21 —
35.4% 2.82 —
33.7% 2.97 —
44.3% 2.26 —
54.8% 1.83 —
64.5% 1.55 —

Home corners

65.7% 1.52 —
49.4% 2.02 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Away corners

75.2% 1.33 —
61.0% 1.64 —
46.8% 2.14 —

Cards

74.7% 1.34 —
58.1% 1.72 —
41.3% 2.42 —
27.9% 3.59 —
41.9% 2.39 —
58.7% 1.7 —
72.1% 1.39 —

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