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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-29

York – Fleetwood Town

Home 49% 2.06 fair
Draw 23% 4.34 fair
Away 28% 3.53 fair
Expected Goals3.23
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.562%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 54.5% → 48.6% -5.8 pp
Draw 22.7% → 23.1% +0.4 pp
Away 22.8% → 28.3% +5.5 pp
Over 2.5 56.7% → 62.2% +5.5 pp
Both teams to score 56.6% → 62.8% +6.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.97 → 3.23 +0.26
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.04 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.02 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.6% 2.06 —
23.1% 4.34 —
28.3% 3.53 —
71.7% 1.4 —
51.4% 1.95 —
76.9% 1.3 —

Half-time result

43.0% 2.33 —
39.7% 2.52 —
17.3% 5.78 —

Half-time double chance

82.7% 1.21 —
57.0% 1.75 —
60.3% 1.66 —

Both halves

15.6% 6.39 —

HT/FT

32.3% 3.1 —
6.8% 14.79 —
3.9% 25.45 —
14.2% 7.06 —
12.8% 7.81 —
12.7% 7.86 —
3.5% 28.74 —
11.7% 8.57 —

HT/FT double chance

66.0% 1.51 —
63.1% 1.58 —
36.2% 2.76 —
44.7% 2.24 —
50.1% 2.0 —
25.8% 3.87 —
32.6% 3.07 —
40.7% 2.46 —
40.7% 2.46 —

Total goals

95.9% 1.04 —
83.4% 1.2 —
62.2% 1.61 —
40.3% 2.48 —
16.7% 6.01 —
37.8% 2.64 —
59.7% 1.67 —

1st-half goals

71.0% 1.41 —
35.4% 2.82 —

Home team goals

84.2% 1.19 —
55.3% 1.81 —

Away team goals

74.5% 1.34 —
40.0% 2.5 —

Both to score

62.8% 1.59 —

Corners

74.1% 1.35 —
63.8% 1.57 —
52.7% 1.9 —
41.9% 2.38 —
32.1% 3.12 —
36.2% 2.76 —
47.3% 2.12 —
58.1% 1.72 —
67.9% 1.47 —

Home corners

76.9% 1.3 —
62.7% 1.6 —
47.4% 2.11 —

Away corners

61.3% 1.63 —
43.8% 2.28 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Cards

73.8% 1.35 —
54.9% 1.82 —
37.1% 2.7 —
22.8% 4.38 —
45.1% 2.22 —
62.9% 1.59 —
77.2% 1.3 —

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