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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-29

Walsall – Chesterfield

Home 40% 2.52 fair
Draw 25% 3.94 fair
Away 35% 2.87 fair
Expected Goals2.79
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.7% → 39.8% +2.1 pp
Draw 25.5% → 25.4% -0.2 pp
Away 36.8% → 34.9% -1.9 pp
Over 2.5 51.5% → 52.4% +0.9 pp
Both teams to score 55.0% → 56.5% +1.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.73 → 2.79 +0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.79
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.13 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.11 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.8% 2.52 —
25.4% 3.94 —
34.9% 2.87 —
65.1% 1.54 —
60.2% 1.66 —
74.6% 1.34 —

Half-time result

31.4% 3.19 —
41.9% 2.39 —
26.7% 3.74 —

Half-time double chance

73.3% 1.36 —
68.6% 1.46 —
58.1% 1.72 —

Both halves

10.5% 9.51 —

HT/FT

23.6% 4.24 —
5.4% 18.66 —
13.7% 7.28 —
14.9% 6.71 —
13.3% 7.53 —
5.1% 19.53 —
19.2% 5.22 —

HT/FT double chance

57.6% 1.74 —
53.0% 1.89 —
36.0% 2.78 —
36.5% 2.74 —
47.6% 2.1 —
32.1% 3.12 —
36.2% 2.76 —
48.6% 2.06 —
52.5% 1.91 —

Total goals

93.9% 1.07 —
76.6% 1.3 —
52.4% 1.91 —
30.1% 3.33 —
23.3% 4.28 —
47.6% 2.1 —
69.9% 1.43 —

1st-half goals

70.0% 1.43 —
33.6% 2.98 —

Home team goals

76.5% 1.31 —
42.3% 2.37 —

Away team goals

73.9% 1.35 —
38.6% 2.59 —

Both to score

56.5% 1.77 —

Corners

74.8% 1.34 —
64.6% 1.55 —
53.8% 1.86 —
43.3% 2.31 —
33.1% 3.02 —
35.4% 2.83 —
46.2% 2.16 —
56.7% 1.76 —
66.9% 1.49 —

Home corners

69.9% 1.43 —
54.3% 1.84 —
38.7% 2.58 —

Away corners

70.4% 1.42 —
54.7% 1.83 —
39.9% 2.51 —

Cards

74.6% 1.34 —
56.4% 1.77 —
39.0% 2.56 —
24.6% 4.07 —
43.6% 2.29 —
61.0% 1.64 —
75.5% 1.33 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds