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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-29

Swindon – Exeter

Home 33% 3.0 fair
Draw 36% 2.74 fair
Away 30% 3.31 fair
Expected Goals1.49
Most Likely Score0-0
Both teams to score28%
Over 2.519%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 29.2% → 33.4% +4.2 pp
Draw 39.1% → 36.5% -2.6 pp
Away 31.7% → 30.2% -1.6 pp
Over 2.5 16.0% → 19.2% +3.2 pp
Both teams to score 24.8% → 27.6% +2.7 pp
Expected Goals 1.38 → 1.49 +0.11
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 0-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.14 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.35 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.4% 3.0 —
36.5% 2.74 —
30.2% 3.31 —
69.8% 1.43 —
66.6% 1.5 —
63.5% 1.57 —

Half-time result

12.6% 7.92 —
67.9% 1.47 —
19.5% 5.13 —

Half-time double chance

80.5% 1.24 —
87.4% 1.14 —
32.1% 3.11 —

Both halves

4.2% 23.81 —

HT/FT

10.1% 9.88 —
21.7% 4.6 —
30.2% 3.31 —
15.9% 6.28 —
4.2% 23.64 —
13.8% 7.27 —

HT/FT double chance

64.1% 1.56 —
48.2% 2.07 —
48.7% 2.06 —
17.9% 5.59 —
25.9% 3.87 —
20.5% 4.88 —
57.7% 1.73 —
52.9% 1.89 —
64.1% 1.56 —

Total goals

77.7% 1.29 —
44.0% 2.27 —
19.2% 5.22 —
6.5% 15.29 —
56.0% 1.79 —
80.8% 1.24 —
93.5% 1.07 —

1st-half goals

35.1% 2.85 —
7.1% 14.01 —

Home team goals

53.8% 1.86 —
18.5% 5.41 —

Away team goals

51.4% 1.94 —
16.2% 6.17 —

Both to score

27.6% 3.63 —

Corners

75.4% 1.33 —
65.0% 1.54 —
53.7% 1.86 —
42.8% 2.34 —
32.9% 3.04 —
35.0% 2.86 —
46.3% 2.16 —
57.2% 1.75 —
67.1% 1.49 —

Home corners

74.0% 1.35 —
58.9% 1.7 —
44.3% 2.26 —

Away corners

66.1% 1.51 —
49.8% 2.01 —
34.6% 2.89 —

Cards

62.7% 1.59 —
42.4% 2.36 —
25.7% 3.89 —
13.9% 7.19 —
57.6% 1.73 —
74.3% 1.35 —
86.1% 1.16 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds