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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-29

Northampton – Cheltenham

Home 44% 2.3 fair
Draw 32% 3.15 fair
Away 25% 4.04 fair
Expected Goals1.88
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score36%
Over 2.529%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 45.0% → 43.5% -1.5 pp
Draw 31.1% → 31.7% +0.6 pp
Away 23.8% → 24.8% +0.9 pp
Over 2.5 29.3% → 28.8% -0.4 pp
Both teams to score 35.7% → 36.2% +0.5 pp
Expected Goals 1.89 → 1.88 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.67 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.67 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.5% 2.3 —
31.7% 3.15 —
24.8% 4.04 —
75.2% 1.33 —
56.5% 1.77 —
68.3% 1.46 —

Half-time result

34.5% 2.9 —
48.2% 2.08 —
17.3% 5.77 —

Half-time double chance

82.7% 1.21 —
65.5% 1.53 —
51.8% 1.93 —

Both halves

10.6% 9.47 —

HT/FT

28.2% 3.54 —
5.0% 20.0 —
14.2% 7.02 —
23.2% 4.32 —
10.8% 9.29 —
3.5% 28.25 —
12.7% 7.86 —

HT/FT double chance

70.6% 1.42 —
54.5% 1.83 —
40.2% 2.49 —
37.8% 2.64 —
43.3% 2.31 —
22.5% 4.44 —
42.0% 2.38 —
38.8% 2.58 —
50.2% 1.99 —

Total goals

84.6% 1.18 —
56.6% 1.77 —
28.8% 3.47 —
12.2% 8.23 —
43.4% 2.31 —
71.2% 1.41 —
87.9% 1.14 —

1st-half goals

59.7% 1.68 —
22.8% 4.39 —

Home team goals

67.5% 1.48 —
30.5% 3.28 —

Away team goals

53.3% 1.88 —
18.0% 5.56 —

Both to score

36.2% 2.76 —

Corners

70.6% 1.42 —
60.0% 1.67 —
48.8% 2.05 —
38.3% 2.61 —
28.7% 3.49 —
40.0% 2.5 —
51.2% 1.95 —
61.7% 1.62 —
71.3% 1.4 —

Home corners

81.8% 1.22 —
69.0% 1.45 —
54.7% 1.83 —

Away corners

45.6% 2.19 —
28.7% 3.48 —
16.3% 6.12 —

Cards

68.7% 1.46 —
48.8% 2.05 —
31.1% 3.22 —
18.0% 5.56 —
51.2% 1.95 —
69.0% 1.45 —
82.0% 1.22 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds