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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-29

Newport County – Shrewsbury

Home 46% 2.18 fair
Draw 26% 3.89 fair
Away 28% 3.52 fair
Expected Goals2.57
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.9% → 45.9% +2.0 pp
Draw 26.2% → 25.7% -0.5 pp
Away 29.9% → 28.4% -1.5 pp
Over 2.5 46.2% → 47.4% +1.3 pp
Both teams to score 50.6% → 51.2% +0.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.52 → 2.57 +0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.58 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.31 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

45.9% 2.18 —
25.7% 3.89 —
28.4% 3.52 —
71.6% 1.4 —
54.1% 1.85 —
74.3% 1.35 —

Half-time result

38.4% 2.61 —
43.6% 2.29 —
18.0% 5.56 —

Half-time double chance

82.0% 1.22 —
61.6% 1.62 —
56.4% 1.77 —

Both halves

13.1% 7.63 —

HT/FT

29.7% 3.37 —
6.1% 16.47 —
14.5% 6.88 —
16.0% 6.27 —
13.1% 7.62 —
3.7% 27.03 —
12.6% 7.92 —

HT/FT double chance

66.2% 1.51 —
60.0% 1.67 —
37.8% 2.65 —
41.1% 2.43 —
46.6% 2.15 —
25.0% 4.0 —
35.9% 2.79 —
42.0% 2.38 —
45.4% 2.2 —

Total goals

92.3% 1.08 —
72.5% 1.38 —
47.4% 2.11 —
26.0% 3.84 —
27.5% 3.64 —
52.6% 1.9 —
74.0% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

65.9% 1.52 —
29.4% 3.4 —

Home team goals

76.9% 1.3 —
43.2% 2.31 —

Away team goals

66.6% 1.5 —
30.0% 3.33 —

Both to score

51.2% 1.95 —

Corners

59.7% 1.68 —
47.4% 2.11 —
36.0% 2.78 —
26.4% 3.79 —
18.7% 5.34 —
52.6% 1.9 —
64.0% 1.56 —
73.6% 1.36 —
81.3% 1.23 —

Home corners

55.7% 1.8 —
38.1% 2.62 —
24.2% 4.12 —

Away corners

62.3% 1.61 —
45.5% 2.2 —
30.6% 3.27 —

Cards

77.3% 1.29 —
60.0% 1.67 —
42.4% 2.36 —
27.4% 3.65 —
40.0% 2.5 —
57.6% 1.73 —
72.7% 1.38 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds