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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-29

Colchester – Crawley Town

Home 50% 2.01 fair
Draw 27% 3.76 fair
Away 24% 4.23 fair
Expected Goals2.38
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 51.8% → 49.8% -2.1 pp
Draw 26.4% → 26.6% +0.2 pp
Away 21.7% → 23.7% +1.9 pp
Over 2.5 43.4% → 42.6% -0.8 pp
Both teams to score 46.1% → 46.1% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.41 → 2.38 -0.03
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.54 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.71 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.8% 2.01 —
26.6% 3.76 —
23.7% 4.23 —
76.3% 1.31 —
50.2% 1.99 —
73.4% 1.36 —

Half-time result

37.5% 2.67 —
47.1% 2.12 —
15.4% 6.47 —

Half-time double chance

84.6% 1.18 —
62.5% 1.6 —
52.9% 1.89 —

Both halves

14.6% 6.83 —

HT/FT

30.3% 3.3 —
5.4% 18.48 —
17.8% 5.61 —
17.6% 5.67 —
11.6% 8.6 —
3.5% 28.33 —
10.3% 9.75 —

HT/FT double chance

71.2% 1.41 —
61.5% 1.63 —
36.5% 2.74 —
40.9% 2.45 —
44.0% 2.27 —
21.0% 4.77 —
40.7% 2.46 —
41.3% 2.42 —
43.1% 2.32 —

Total goals

90.6% 1.1 —
69.0% 1.45 —
42.6% 2.35 —
21.7% 4.61 —
31.0% 3.23 —
57.4% 1.74 —
78.3% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

60.8% 1.64 —
24.4% 4.09 —

Home team goals

76.9% 1.3 —
42.9% 2.33 —

Away team goals

59.9% 1.67 —
23.3% 4.3 —

Both to score

46.1% 2.17 —

Corners

78.2% 1.28 —
68.5% 1.46 —
58.0% 1.73 —
47.2% 2.12 —
37.1% 2.7 —
31.5% 3.18 —
42.0% 2.38 —
52.8% 1.89 —
62.9% 1.59 —

Home corners

81.1% 1.23 —
68.3% 1.46 —
53.9% 1.85 —

Away corners

61.5% 1.63 —
44.6% 2.24 —
29.9% 3.34 —

Cards

81.8% 1.22 —
65.9% 1.52 —
49.3% 2.03 —
34.0% 2.94 —
34.1% 2.94 —
50.7% 1.97 —
66.0% 1.51 —

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