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Fixtures / League Two / 2026-12-29

Accrington – Rotherham

Home 56% 1.78 fair
Draw 21% 4.67 fair
Away 22% 4.47 fair
Expected Goals3.19
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.562%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 55.0% → 56.2% +1.2 pp
Draw 21.7% → 21.4% -0.3 pp
Away 23.3% → 22.4% -0.9 pp
Over 2.5 63.4% → 62.0% -1.4 pp
Both teams to score 62.2% → 60.0% -2.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.28 → 3.19 -0.09
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.19
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.04 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.72 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

56.2% 1.78 —
21.4% 4.67 —
22.4% 4.47 —
77.6% 1.29 —
43.8% 2.28 —
78.6% 1.27 —

Half-time result

42.4% 2.36 —
33.8% 2.96 —
23.8% 4.21 —

Half-time double chance

76.2% 1.31 —
57.6% 1.74 —
66.2% 1.51 —

Both halves

19.6% 5.12 —

HT/FT

37.4% 2.68 —
4.1% 24.51 —
15.5% 6.46 —
11.9% 8.42 —
6.5% 15.48 —
3.4% 29.5 —
5.5% 18.32 —
14.9% 6.71 —

HT/FT double chance

68.8% 1.45 —
60.3% 1.66 —
23.4% 4.27 —
50.3% 1.99 —
56.6% 1.77 —
25.4% 3.93 —
36.2% 2.76 —
40.2% 2.49 —
38.7% 2.58 —

Total goals

95.7% 1.05 —
82.7% 1.21 —
62.0% 1.61 —
39.6% 2.53 —
17.4% 5.76 —
38.0% 2.63 —
60.4% 1.65 —

1st-half goals

81.6% 1.23 —
51.1% 1.96 —

Home team goals

86.0% 1.16 —
59.6% 1.68 —

Away team goals

69.7% 1.43 —
33.4% 2.99 —

Both to score

60.0% 1.67 —

Corners

64.7% 1.55 —
53.2% 1.88 —
41.8% 2.4 —
31.0% 3.23 —
22.6% 4.43 —
46.8% 2.14 —
58.2% 1.72 —
69.0% 1.45 —
77.4% 1.29 —

Home corners

69.4% 1.44 —
53.1% 1.88 —
38.2% 2.62 —

Away corners

55.0% 1.82 —
37.2% 2.69 —
23.5% 4.25 —

Cards

81.9% 1.22 —
66.2% 1.51 —
49.1% 2.03 —
33.8% 2.96 —
33.8% 2.96 —
50.8% 1.97 —
66.2% 1.51 —

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