Everton – Man City
Home
22%
4.46 fair
Draw
25%
4.02 fair
Away
53%
1.9 fair
Expected Goals2.5
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.546%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
19.2%
→
22.4%
+3.2 pp
Draw
24.2%
→
24.9%
+0.7 pp
Away
56.6%
→
52.7%
-3.9 pp
Over 2.5
46.5%
→
46.0%
-0.5 pp
Both teams to score
47.4%
→
47.7%
+0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.54 →
2.5
-0.04
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.2% | 5.21 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Both halves
| 3.7% | 27.17 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.7% | 8.58 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 21.01 | — | |||
| 9.5% | 10.48 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.17 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.45 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — |
Total goals
| 91.7% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — |
Home team goals
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — |
Away team goals
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — |
Both to score
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — |
Corners
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — |
Home corners
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — |
Away corners
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — |
Cards
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.53 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds