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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-28

Worthing – Aldershot

Home 63% 1.58 fair
Draw 18% 5.69 fair
Away 19% 5.22 fair
Expected Goals4.0
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score70%
Over 2.576%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 70.0% → 63.3% -6.7 pp
Draw 15.6% → 17.6% +2.0 pp
Away 14.4% → 19.1% +4.7 pp
Over 2.5 78.6% → 76.0% -2.6 pp
Both teams to score 68.7% → 69.8% +1.2 pp
Expected Goals 4.19 → 4.0 -0.19
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.63 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.79 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

63.3% 1.58 —
17.6% 5.69 —
19.1% 5.22 —
80.8% 1.24 —
36.7% 2.72 —
82.4% 1.21 —

Half-time result

53.0% 1.89 —
29.0% 3.45 —
18.0% 5.54 —

Half-time double chance

82.0% 1.22 —
47.0% 2.13 —
71.0% 1.41 —

Both halves

25.7% 3.89 —

HT/FT

45.6% 2.19 —
5.2% 19.34 —
14.2% 7.02 —
8.2% 12.21 —
6.5% 15.29 —
3.5% 28.9 —
4.2% 23.81 —
10.4% 9.63 —

HT/FT double chance

73.2% 1.37 —
68.6% 1.46 —
22.1% 4.52 —
58.4% 1.71 —
61.7% 1.62 —
22.0% 4.55 —
30.1% 3.32 —
34.6% 2.89 —
29.3% 3.41 —

Total goals

91.0% 1.1 —
76.0% 1.31 —
56.2% 1.78 —
9.0% 11.1 —
23.9% 4.18 —
43.8% 2.28 —

1st-half goals

85.9% 1.16 —
58.2% 1.72 —

Home team goals

92.6% 1.08 —
73.2% 1.37 —

Away team goals

75.5% 1.33 —
40.5% 2.47 —

Both to score

69.8% 1.43 —

Corners

80.3% 1.24 —
70.5% 1.42 —
59.9% 1.67 —
48.6% 2.06 —
38.0% 2.63 —
29.5% 3.39 —
40.1% 2.49 —
51.4% 1.95 —
62.0% 1.61 —

Home corners

76.9% 1.3 —
61.8% 1.62 —
45.6% 2.19 —

Away corners

72.7% 1.38 —
56.8% 1.76 —
40.4% 2.48 —

Cards

81.4% 1.23 —
66.5% 1.5 —
50.3% 1.99 —
34.6% 2.89 —
33.5% 2.99 —
49.7% 2.01 —
65.4% 1.53 —

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