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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-28

Tamworth – Kidderminster

Home 38% 2.66 fair
Draw 29% 3.42 fair
Away 33% 3.02 fair
Expected Goals2.21
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.538%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 36.5% → 37.6% +1.1 pp
Draw 29.2% → 29.2% +0.0 pp
Away 34.3% → 33.1% -1.1 pp
Over 2.5 37.8% → 38.1% +0.3 pp
Both teams to score 44.7% → 44.7% +0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.2 → 2.21 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.51 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.95 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.6% 2.66 —
29.2% 3.42 —
33.1% 3.02 —
66.8% 1.5 —
62.4% 1.6 —
70.8% 1.41 —

Half-time result

33.2% 3.01 —
41.8% 2.39 —
25.0% 4.0 —

Half-time double chance

75.0% 1.33 —
66.8% 1.5 —
58.2% 1.72 —

Both halves

8.4% 11.85 —

HT/FT

25.9% 3.86 —
5.7% 17.45 —
10.7% 9.35 —
19.3% 5.18 —
11.8% 8.45 —
4.2% 24.04 —
19.8% 5.06 —

HT/FT double chance

61.6% 1.62 —
50.0% 2.0 —
38.4% 2.6 —
36.9% 2.71 —
48.2% 2.07 —
31.2% 3.21 —
35.2% 2.84 —
43.4% 2.31 —
55.1% 1.82 —

Total goals

88.9% 1.12 —
64.8% 1.54 —
38.1% 2.62 —
18.2% 5.49 —
35.2% 2.84 —
61.9% 1.62 —
81.8% 1.22 —

1st-half goals

69.9% 1.43 —
33.8% 2.96 —

Home team goals

68.5% 1.46 —
31.6% 3.16 —

Away team goals

65.2% 1.53 —
28.7% 3.48 —

Both to score

44.7% 2.24 —

Corners

70.9% 1.41 —
59.1% 1.69 —
47.2% 2.12 —
36.1% 2.77 —
26.4% 3.78 —
40.9% 2.44 —
52.8% 1.89 —
63.9% 1.57 —
73.6% 1.36 —

Home corners

78.1% 1.28 —
64.0% 1.56 —
48.2% 2.08 —

Away corners

53.1% 1.88 —
34.7% 2.88 —
20.8% 4.81 —

Cards

83.5% 1.2 —
68.8% 1.45 —
52.7% 1.9 —
37.5% 2.67 —
31.1% 3.21 —
47.3% 2.11 —
62.5% 1.6 —

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