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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-28

Hornchurch – Boreham Wood

Home 20% 5.12 fair
Draw 22% 4.65 fair
Away 59% 1.7 fair
Expected Goals3.1
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.560%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 20.7% → 19.5% -1.2 pp
Draw 22.9% → 21.5% -1.4 pp
Away 56.4% → 59.0% +2.6 pp
Over 2.5 56.2% → 60.0% +3.8 pp
Both teams to score 55.4% → 57.6% +2.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.93 → 3.1 +0.17
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.89 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.32 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

19.5% 5.12 —
21.5% 4.65 —
59.0% 1.7 —
41.0% 2.44 —
80.5% 1.24 —
78.5% 1.27 —

Half-time result

16.7% 6.0 —
39.8% 2.51 —
43.5% 2.3 —

Half-time double chance

56.5% 1.77 —
83.3% 1.2 —
60.2% 1.66 —

Both halves

3.6% 27.62 —

HT/FT

9.4% 10.67 —
4.1% 24.45 —
3.2% 31.15 —
8.3% 12.02 —
12.5% 8.02 —
19.0% 5.27 —
4.9% 20.28 —
36.8% 2.72 —

HT/FT double chance

34.2% 2.92 —
39.9% 2.51 —
38.8% 2.58 —
20.2% 4.94 —
51.2% 1.95 —
49.0% 2.04 —
27.6% 3.63 —
65.9% 1.52 —
73.2% 1.37 —

Total goals

95.4% 1.05 —
81.9% 1.22 —
60.0% 1.67 —
37.4% 2.67 —
18.1% 5.53 —
40.0% 2.5 —
62.6% 1.6 —

1st-half goals

70.6% 1.42 —
34.2% 2.92 —

Home team goals

66.2% 1.51 —
29.2% 3.43 —

Away team goals

86.8% 1.15 —
60.0% 1.67 —

Both to score

57.6% 1.74 —

Corners

74.3% 1.35 —
63.5% 1.57 —
52.1% 1.92 —
40.5% 2.47 —
30.2% 3.31 —
36.5% 2.74 —
47.9% 2.09 —
59.5% 1.68 —
69.8% 1.43 —

Home corners

60.0% 1.67 —
42.0% 2.38 —
27.1% 3.69 —

Away corners

78.0% 1.28 —
63.6% 1.57 —
48.1% 2.08 —

Cards

61.7% 1.62 —
41.1% 2.43 —
25.0% 3.99 —
13.7% 7.29 —
58.9% 1.7 —
75.0% 1.33 —
86.3% 1.16 —

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