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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-28

Fylde – Gateshead

Home 56% 1.8 fair
Draw 22% 4.61 fair
Away 23% 4.39 fair
Expected Goals3.33
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.564%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 54.5% → 55.5% +1.0 pp
Draw 21.5% → 21.7% +0.2 pp
Away 24.0% → 22.8% -1.3 pp
Over 2.5 65.0% → 64.2% -0.8 pp
Both teams to score 63.5% → 63.0% -0.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.33 → 3.33 0.0
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.33
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.13 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.83 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

55.5% 1.8 —
21.7% 4.61 —
22.8% 4.39 —
77.2% 1.29 —
44.5% 2.25 —
78.3% 1.28 —

Half-time result

42.9% 2.33 —
34.7% 2.88 —
22.4% 4.46 —

Half-time double chance

77.6% 1.29 —
57.1% 1.75 —
65.3% 1.53 —

Both halves

19.2% 5.22 —

HT/FT

36.2% 2.76 —
5.0% 20.2 —
15.6% 6.39 —
11.4% 8.75 —
7.6% 13.12 —
3.6% 27.4 —
5.3% 18.76 —
13.4% 7.46 —

HT/FT double chance

68.2% 1.47 —
61.2% 1.63 —
25.7% 3.89 —
50.2% 1.99 —
55.0% 1.82 —
25.4% 3.93 —
36.0% 2.77 —
40.3% 2.48 —
37.8% 2.65 —

Total goals

96.3% 1.04 —
84.5% 1.18 —
64.2% 1.56 —
42.6% 2.35 —
15.5% 6.44 —
35.8% 2.79 —
57.4% 1.74 —

1st-half goals

79.6% 1.26 —
47.8% 2.09 —

Home team goals

87.3% 1.15 —
60.7% 1.65 —

Away team goals

72.1% 1.39 —
36.1% 2.77 —

Both to score

63.0% 1.59 —

Corners

67.0% 1.49 —
54.7% 1.83 —
42.3% 2.36 —
31.7% 3.15 —
22.4% 4.46 —
45.3% 2.21 —
57.7% 1.73 —
68.3% 1.46 —
77.6% 1.29 —

Home corners

77.4% 1.29 —
62.5% 1.6 —
46.6% 2.15 —

Away corners

47.6% 2.1 —
29.8% 3.36 —
16.7% 6.01 —

Cards

70.4% 1.42 —
51.5% 1.94 —
34.1% 2.94 —
20.5% 4.89 —
48.5% 2.06 —
65.9% 1.52 —
79.5% 1.26 —

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