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Fixtures / National League / 2026-12-28

Altrincham – Barrow

Home 31% 3.22 fair
Draw 25% 4.03 fair
Away 44% 2.27 fair
Expected Goals2.77
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 30.2% → 31.0% +0.9 pp
Draw 25.2% → 24.8% -0.4 pp
Away 44.6% → 44.1% -0.4 pp
Over 2.5 52.5% → 52.3% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 56.0% → 55.9% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.78 → 2.77 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.85 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.37 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.0% 3.22 —
24.8% 4.03 —
44.1% 2.27 —
55.9% 1.79 —
69.0% 1.45 —
75.2% 1.33 —

Half-time result

26.8% 3.73 —
53.3% 1.88 —
19.9% 5.03 —

Half-time double chance

80.1% 1.25 —
73.2% 1.37 —
46.7% 2.14 —

Both halves

6.6% 15.08 —

HT/FT

16.1% 6.21 —
6.0% 16.69 —
4.7% 21.32 —
13.5% 7.39 —
15.8% 6.34 —
24.0% 4.16 —
3.0% 32.79 —
15.4% 6.47 —

HT/FT double chance

51.4% 1.94 —
58.4% 1.71 —
50.5% 1.98 —
26.5% 3.77 —
37.6% 2.66 —
29.2% 3.43 —
33.8% 2.96 —
54.4% 1.84 —
58.3% 1.72 —

Total goals

93.7% 1.07 —
76.3% 1.31 —
52.3% 1.91 —
29.7% 3.36 —
23.7% 4.22 —
47.6% 2.1 —
70.3% 1.42 —

1st-half goals

53.8% 1.86 —
18.3% 5.46 —

Home team goals

71.0% 1.41 —
35.3% 2.83 —

Away team goals

78.6% 1.27 —
44.8% 2.23 —

Both to score

55.9% 1.79 —

Corners

74.0% 1.35 —
62.8% 1.59 —
51.4% 1.95 —
40.2% 2.49 —
29.7% 3.37 —
37.2% 2.69 —
48.6% 2.06 —
59.8% 1.67 —
70.3% 1.42 —

Home corners

75.2% 1.33 —
59.8% 1.67 —
43.8% 2.28 —

Away corners

63.7% 1.57 —
45.9% 2.18 —
30.6% 3.27 —

Cards

86.5% 1.16 —
73.7% 1.36 —
58.7% 1.7 —
43.8% 2.28 —
26.3% 3.8 —
41.3% 2.42 —
56.2% 1.78 —

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