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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-27

Sudtirol – Carrarese

Home 44% 2.3 fair
Draw 29% 3.45 fair
Away 28% 3.64 fair
Expected Goals2.24
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score45%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.4% → 43.5% +1.1 pp
Draw 29.1% → 29.0% -0.1 pp
Away 28.5% → 27.5% -1.0 pp
Over 2.5 38.9% → 38.7% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 45.0% → 45.2% +0.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.24 → 2.24 0.0
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.24
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.35 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.86 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

43.5% 2.3 —
29.0% 3.45 —
27.5% 3.64 —
72.5% 1.38 —
56.5% 1.77 —
71.0% 1.41 —

Half-time result

30.7% 3.26 —
49.4% 2.02 —
19.9% 5.04 —

Half-time double chance

80.1% 1.25 —
69.3% 1.44 —
50.6% 1.98 —

Both halves

10.7% 9.37 —

HT/FT

24.0% 4.16 —
5.0% 20.0 —
17.4% 5.75 —
19.4% 5.15 —
12.6% 7.92 —
4.6% 21.88 —
13.2% 7.58 —

HT/FT double chance

65.8% 1.52 —
55.7% 1.79 —
38.7% 2.58 —
35.7% 2.8 —
41.0% 2.44 —
24.4% 4.09 —
43.5% 2.3 —
45.3% 2.21 —
49.8% 2.01 —

Total goals

89.2% 1.12 —
65.8% 1.52 —
38.7% 2.58 —
18.9% 5.29 —
34.2% 2.93 —
61.3% 1.63 —
81.1% 1.23 —

1st-half goals

58.4% 1.71 —
21.3% 4.69 —

Home team goals

72.3% 1.38 —
36.9% 2.71 —

Away team goals

62.1% 1.61 —
25.1% 3.98 —

Both to score

45.2% 2.21 —

Corners

67.5% 1.48 —
56.4% 1.77 —
45.4% 2.2 —
34.9% 2.87 —
25.7% 3.89 —
43.6% 2.29 —
54.6% 1.83 —
65.1% 1.54 —
74.3% 1.35 —

Home corners

61.4% 1.63 —
44.8% 2.23 —
30.4% 3.29 —

Away corners

67.2% 1.49 —
51.2% 1.95 —
36.3% 2.75 —

Cards

83.0% 1.2 —
68.0% 1.47 —
51.7% 1.93 —
36.2% 2.76 —
32.0% 3.13 —
48.3% 2.07 —
63.8% 1.57 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds