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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-27

Sampdoria – Verona

Home 27% 3.71 fair
Draw 26% 3.89 fair
Away 47% 2.11 fair
Expected Goals2.57
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 34.4% → 27.0% -7.4 pp
Draw 24.4% → 25.7% +1.3 pp
Away 41.3% → 47.3% +6.0 pp
Over 2.5 58.5% → 47.3% -11.1 pp
Both teams to score 61.0% → 50.8% -10.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.05 → 2.57 -0.48
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.33 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.0 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

27.0% 3.71 —
25.7% 3.89 —
47.3% 2.11 —
52.7% 1.9 —
73.0% 1.37 —
74.3% 1.35 —

Half-time result

15.7% 6.37 —
45.2% 2.21 —
39.1% 2.56 —

Half-time double chance

60.9% 1.64 —
84.3% 1.19 —
54.8% 1.83 —

Both halves

4.5% 22.27 —

HT/FT

10.8% 9.29 —
3.4% 29.41 —
13.6% 7.36 —
16.2% 6.19 —
15.5% 6.44 —
6.2% 16.23 —
30.3% 3.3 —

HT/FT double chance

43.9% 2.28 —
41.4% 2.42 —
36.6% 2.73 —
23.0% 4.36 —
45.2% 2.21 —
41.3% 2.42 —
38.5% 2.6 —
62.0% 1.61 —
68.1% 1.47 —

Total goals

92.4% 1.08 —
72.7% 1.37 —
47.3% 2.11 —
25.6% 3.9 —
27.3% 3.67 —
52.7% 1.9 —
74.4% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

63.2% 1.58 —
26.4% 3.79 —

Home team goals

65.4% 1.53 —
28.8% 3.47 —

Away team goals

77.9% 1.28 —
44.7% 2.24 —

Both to score

50.8% 1.97 —

Corners

67.1% 1.49 —
56.1% 1.78 —
44.7% 2.24 —
34.5% 2.9 —
25.4% 3.93 —
43.9% 2.28 —
55.3% 1.81 —
65.5% 1.53 —
74.6% 1.34 —

Home corners

66.5% 1.5 —
50.4% 1.98 —
35.8% 2.8 —

Away corners

62.2% 1.61 —
45.4% 2.21 —
31.1% 3.22 —

Cards

84.0% 1.19 —
70.2% 1.42 —
54.1% 1.85 —
38.6% 2.59 —
29.8% 3.36 —
45.9% 2.18 —
61.4% 1.63 —

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