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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-27

Mantova – Padova

Home 44% 2.27 fair
Draw 28% 3.63 fair
Away 28% 3.53 fair
Expected Goals2.36
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.9% → 44.1% -2.7 pp
Draw 27.0% → 27.6% +0.6 pp
Away 26.2% → 28.3% +2.1 pp
Over 2.5 43.5% → 41.9% -1.6 pp
Both teams to score 47.7% → 47.2% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.42 → 2.36 -0.06
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.48 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.34 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

44.1% 2.27 —
27.6% 3.63 —
28.3% 3.53 —
71.7% 1.39 —
55.9% 1.79 —
72.4% 1.38 —

Half-time result

34.9% 2.87 —
42.1% 2.37 —
23.0% 4.35 —

Half-time double chance

77.0% 1.3 —
65.1% 1.54 —
57.9% 1.73 —

Both halves

11.5% 8.7 —

HT/FT

28.2% 3.54 —
5.2% 19.08 —
14.1% 7.11 —
17.7% 5.64 —
10.3% 9.69 —
4.6% 21.83 —
16.5% 6.05 —

HT/FT double chance

65.2% 1.53 —
54.0% 1.85 —
34.7% 2.88 —
39.9% 2.51 —
48.1% 2.08 —
27.8% 3.6 —
38.3% 2.61 —
42.8% 2.34 —
49.2% 2.03 —

Total goals

90.5% 1.1 —
68.2% 1.47 —
41.9% 2.39 —
21.3% 4.69 —
31.8% 3.14 —
58.1% 1.72 —
78.7% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

68.7% 1.46 —
32.2% 3.1 —

Home team goals

73.8% 1.35 —
38.9% 2.57 —

Away team goals

63.9% 1.57 —
27.0% 3.7 —

Both to score

47.2% 2.12 —

Corners

68.6% 1.46 —
57.6% 1.74 —
46.5% 2.15 —
36.2% 2.76 —
27.1% 3.69 —
42.4% 2.36 —
53.4% 1.87 —
63.8% 1.57 —
72.9% 1.37 —

Home corners

73.9% 1.35 —
59.6% 1.68 —
45.2% 2.21 —

Away corners

54.8% 1.82 —
37.3% 2.68 —
23.5% 4.26 —

Cards

87.0% 1.15 —
74.0% 1.35 —
58.8% 1.7 —
43.3% 2.31 —
26.0% 3.84 —
41.2% 2.42 —
56.7% 1.76 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds