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Fixtures / SerieB / 2026-12-27

Cremonese – Ascoli

Home 37% 2.69 fair
Draw 30% 3.3 fair
Away 32% 3.08 fair
Expected Goals2.07
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score42%
Over 2.534%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 33.7% → 37.2% +3.5 pp
Draw 28.9% → 30.3% +1.4 pp
Away 37.4% → 32.5% -5.0 pp
Over 2.5 37.9% → 34.3% -3.6 pp
Both teams to score 44.3% → 41.9% -2.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.19 → 2.07 -0.12
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.07
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.21 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.14 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.2% 2.69 —
30.3% 3.3 —
32.5% 3.08 —
67.5% 1.48 —
62.8% 1.59 —
69.7% 1.44 —

Half-time result

26.2% 3.81 —
45.4% 2.21 —
28.4% 3.52 —

Half-time double chance

71.6% 1.4 —
73.8% 1.36 —
54.6% 1.83 —

Both halves

8.0% 12.58 —

HT/FT

21.4% 4.68 —
4.0% 25.32 —
14.1% 7.11 —
20.9% 4.78 —
10.4% 9.65 —
5.5% 18.35 —
21.2% 4.71 —

HT/FT double chance

60.3% 1.66 —
46.7% 2.14 —
36.1% 2.77 —
32.5% 3.07 —
45.2% 2.21 —
31.5% 3.17 —
42.2% 2.37 —
47.4% 2.11 —
57.9% 1.73 —

Total goals

87.2% 1.15 —
61.2% 1.63 —
34.3% 2.92 —
15.7% 6.37 —
38.8% 2.58 —
65.7% 1.52 —
84.3% 1.19 —

1st-half goals

65.2% 1.53 —
28.7% 3.48 —

Home team goals

66.1% 1.51 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Away team goals

63.0% 1.59 —
25.9% 3.87 —

Both to score

41.9% 2.39 —

Corners

65.8% 1.52 —
54.5% 1.83 —
43.3% 2.31 —
33.0% 3.03 —
24.5% 4.08 —
45.5% 2.2 —
56.7% 1.76 —
67.0% 1.49 —
75.5% 1.32 —

Home corners

66.9% 1.5 —
51.0% 1.96 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Away corners

59.7% 1.68 —
42.8% 2.34 —
28.7% 3.48 —

Cards

85.5% 1.17 —
72.1% 1.39 —
56.2% 1.78 —
40.5% 2.47 —
27.9% 3.59 —
43.8% 2.28 —
59.5% 1.68 —

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